FARTCOINUSDT – Probability Analysis for October 31, 2025
FARTCOINUSDT — Probability Analysis (October 31, 2025)
Quick live snapshot
- CoinMarketCap live price: ≈ $0.3357 and market-cap ≈ $336M; 24h volume ~ $110M. (CoinMarketCap)
- TradingView real-time chart / technical snapshot for FARTCOIN/USDT. (TradingView)
- CoinGecko live price history / daily closes showing Oct 30 → Oct 31 move. (CoinGecko)
- Cross-exchange price feeds and historical context (Bitget / CoinMarketCap USDT page) used to confirm liquidity and prior price action. (Bitget)
Executive summary/headline forecast (short)
Right now (Oct 31 evening, PKT) FARTCOIN has pulled back from October highs and is trading in the low-$0.30s. Given where the monthly candle will close within the next few hours, the most likely outcome for October’s monthly close is neutral to mildly bearish (higher chance of closing below the constructive mid-October range) unless a sudden, broad market risk-on surge appears. I set rough probabilities for the monthly close as: Bearish ~55%, Neutral ~35%, Bullish ~10%. The rest of this post explains why and the exact levels to watch. (CoinMarketCap)
Important timing (monthly candle close — convert to local audiences)
Monthly candles on most exchanges close at 00:00 UTC on Nov 1, 2025 (this is the standard calendar boundary used by major exchanges/charting platforms). That means:
- Pakistan (Asia/Karachi, PKT, UTC+5): 05:00 AM on Nov 1, 2025.
- Central Europe (CET/CEST — e.g., Berlin): 01:00 AM on Nov 1, 2025 (CET/CEST depends on DST; note local clocks).
- New York (EDT, UTC−4 on Oct 31): 8:00 PM on Oct 31, 2025.
If you plan to act based on the monthly close, watch price behavior and volume in the 2 hours leading up to these times from your region — that’s when final re-pricing happens on the monthly candle. (I used standard charting conventions on TradingView / CoinMarketCap for this timing.) (TradingView)
Daily (1D) view — what the charts are saying now
What’s happening today:
- Price has fallen from mid-October highs and is now in the low $0.30s (CoinMarketCap / CoinGecko feeds). Volatility remains high given elevated 24-hour volume. (CoinMarketCap)
Technical read (daily)
- Short-term momentum is neutral → slightly bearish (oscillators near neutral or falling on many charting snapshots). TradingView composite technicals show mixed/neutral signals rather than a clean “buy.” (TradingView)
- Immediate support to watch: $0.30–$0.33 (recent intraday lows and liquidity cluster).
- Immediate resistance: $0.38–$0.42 (recent swing highs that capped rallies earlier this month).
Daily probability (next 24–72 hours)
- Consolidation / mild downside — 60%: likely to trade in the $0.30–$0.40 band unless a macro catalyst or big order flow hits.
- Bullish break (fast rally) — 30%: only if large risk-on flows return and push price above $0.42 on expanding volume.
- Sharp downside (rare but possible) — 10%: if a major whale dump or market-wide risk-off happens.
Rationale: The lack of strong, volume-backed daily closes above immediate resistance keeps the daily structure vulnerable. (TradingView)
Weekly view — medium term (1–4 weeks)
Current weekly structure:
- The weekly candle(s) in October showed strong swings — big highs then corrective moves. Weekly moving averages are flattening; sellers defended the upper region multiple times. (Bitget)
Key weekly zones:
- Support: $0.30–$0.34 (weekly floor that has been tested).
- Resistance: $0.45–$0.50 (weekly swing tops; a weekly close above this band would flip the mid-term bias).
Weekly probabilities (next 1–2 weeks)
- Neutral to mildly bearish — 65%: unless strong accumulation on multiple exchanges shows up (rising weekly volume + fewer downward closes).
- Bullish flip — 35%: if weekly close > $0.50 or two consecutive strong weekly closes with expanding volume.
Rationale: meme/sentiment coins need clear weekly confirmation to sustain a medium-term trend; current price action is corrective. (Bitget)
Monthly view — very important right now (prediction for Oct monthly close)
Why October’s close matters: monthly candles set the tone for multi-week to multi-month bias. A weak monthly close invites further corrective risk in November; a strong monthly close can attract fresh macro liquidity.
Current read (hours before close): price is below the mid-October highs and currently sits in the low $0.30s (CoinMarketCap / CoinGecko). For October’s monthly candle to be clearly bullish, the price would realistically need to finish well above the mid-month peak (I estimate a decisive bullish monthly close requires price sustaining > ~$0.50 on major feeds). Conversely, a monthly close below ~$0.34 would be a clear bearish monthly signal. (CoinMarketCap)
My probability estimate for the monthly close (given current price momentum and time remaining):
- Bearish monthly close (close < ~$0.34): 55% — the leading probability because price is beneath the earlier mid-October range and momentum is weak. (CoinGecko)
- Neutral monthly close (~$0.34–$0.50): 35% — price closes inside that band; outcome is indecisive and likely leads to range trading in November.
- Bullish monthly close (> ~$0.50): 10% — possible only with a sudden large volume surge and broad crypto risk-on flows in the final hours.
Actionable implication: if you want to trade based on the monthly close, treat the close as confirmation — wait until after 00:00 UTC (Nov 1) and then watch the first 1–4 hourly candles for follow-through. Short-term intramonth hypes can reverse quickly. (TradingView)
What to watch in the next few hours (practical checklist)
- Volume behavior — expanding volume on rallies is required to consider a bullish monthly outcome; volume spikes on declines make a bearish monthly close likelier. (CoinMarketCap)
- Cross-exchange confirmations — watch CoinMarketCap/CoinGecko/TradingView (and your exchange) to make sure moves are broad and not exchange-specific anomalies. (CoinMarketCap)
- BTC direction — if Bitcoin (and large alts) move decisively risk-on, alts get a lift; if BTC sells off, alts usually underperform.
- Large wallet / on-chain flows — any sudden large transfer to exchanges often precedes selling; large deposits to exchanges are a warning sign.
- Price vs. key levels — $0.30, $0.34 (support); $0.42, $0.45, $0.50 (resistance).
Trade management (if you plan to act)
- If long post-monthly close: wait for a confirmation candle (1–4 hour close) after 00:00 UTC and volume confirmation. Enter on a retest of the breakout level with a stop under the retest.
- If shorting or hedging: prefer short exposures only if price breaks and holds below $0.30 with rising volume; use tight risk controls.
- Position size: keep small for speculative meme coins — no more than a modest % of your portfolio; avoid heavy leverage during month-end and macro windows. (CoinMarketCap)
Final words — the practical prediction
With a few hours left before October’s monthly candle closes (00:00 UTC Nov 1 → 05:00 PKT Nov 1), FARTCOIN’s most probable monthly outcome is a neutral-to-bearish close (my tilt is bearish). That does not mean an immediate crash — it means the medium-term structure will likely remain vulnerable and traders should wait for clear, multi-timeframe confirmation before committing significant long positions.
Disclaimer:
The content on this website is purely for educational purposes and not to be treated as financial advice. Please do your own research and DYORM.









