FARTCOINUSDT – Probability Analysis for November 09, 2025
FARTCOIN/USDT — Probability Analysis (November 9, 2025)
Live snapshot
FARTCOIN is trading around $0.3042 USDT, with a 24-hour volume of approximately $64.69 million USD. Circulating supply is near one billion tokens, giving a high volume-to-market-cap ratio (~20%), which means price moves can be sharp and rapid.
Daily view (next 24-72 hours)
Price remains in the $0.30 band after a recent pullback. On intraday charts, the $0.24–$0.26 support zone remains key; short-term resistance is around $0.30–$0.33. For a bullish shift, the price would need to clear and close above ~$0.38 on strong volume.
Probabilities for the daily timeframe:
- Bullish bounce / short squeeze → ~$0.33–$0.38: ~25%
- Range / mild downside → ~$0.24–$0.33: ~55%
- Bearish break toward ~$0.18–$0.22: ~20%
Weekly view (1-3 weeks)
Weekly charts show that FARTCOIN pulled back from October highs and is forming a consolidation. Weekly support around $0.18–$0.24 is important; resistance stands near $0.38–$0.45.
Weekly probabilities:
- Range/absorption (~$0.18–$0.33): ~50%
- Bearish continuation (< ~$0.18): ~30%
- Bullish weekly flip (> ~$0.45 with strong weekly volume): ~20%
Monthly view (1+ months)
On the monthly timeframe, FARTCOIN is still far below its ATH (~$2.74 USD) and needs sustained accumulation and positive market sentiment to regain momentum. Key zones are support ~$0.08–$0.18 and bullish flip resistance > ~$0.50.
Monthly probabilities:
- Neutral/mildly bearish (range or slight deceleration): ~55%
- Constructive recovery toward ~$0.50+ over weeks: ~30%
- Deeper correction (< ~$0.08): ~15%
Basis of probabilities
I derived these estimates by combining scores across five components: price action (30%), volume confirmation (25%), multi-timeframe technicals (20%), liquidity (10%), and macro/sentiment (15%). Each component was scored 0.00–1.00 based on live data from TradingView, CoinMarketCap, Bitget, and CoinGecko. The weighted sum gives the base bullish probability, which was then adjusted for realism (e.g., liquidity, meme-token dynamics) to produce the probability bands you see above.
Trade notes
FARTCOINUSDT Nov 09 2025 FI
- For a bullish intraday setup: wait for two consecutive 15-minute closes above ~$0.33 with volume > recent 15-minute average and a successful retest.
- For swing/trend trade: require a weekly close above ~$0.45 with rising weekly volume before scaling.
- Use conservative stop-loss rules (e.g., under ~$0.24 for daily, under ~$0.18 for weekly) and limit position size given high volatility.
